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Posts Tagged ‘real estate events’

What The Volatile Market Means to Real Estate Single Family Home Investors

 

The Dow closed down 588 points last Wednesday as worries of a China Slowdown permeate the business community. Even though there was some recovery in the market on Wednesday the market is still volatile. In looking at this from the prism of a single family home investor; there are pros and cons to consider.

 

On the pro side, it’s already assumed that any interest rate hike by the fed will now be postponed until things feel stable. Since it takes time for a rate hike to translate to mortgage rates, we get more time with our delightfully low mortgages. Of course, since most mortgages have yearly caps, it will take even longer (in some cases much longer) for rates to climb in a significant way.

 

Also on the pro side, people are confused as to where money should operate. The knee-jerk

What The Volatile Market Means to Real Estate Single Family Home Investors
Great advice.

reaction is to have money sit as cash (with close to zero yields). However, when people are scared of stock markets, real estate and (especially) single family homes usually become more interesting as a safe hard asset that produces income, which we tell our clients at ICG as well.

 

People may also feel this is not a bad time to pull money out of stocks and finally buy a home for themselves since they might have been planning to do it anyway – this would not be a bad time to deploy that cash, right into locking in a low rate 30-year fixed loan. This, of course, would boost real estate markets in the single family home sector.

 

On the con side, obviously what is happening is not engendering a lot of overall economic confidence and more doom-and-gloom messages are circulating. This can create an environment where people “hunker down” which will not help the housing market.

 

During our upcoming 1-Day Expo, we have invited Dr.Lawrence A. Souzato to discuss this and other important economic waves now manifesting. Don’t miss it!

 

We will also have Ralph Bunje Jr. talking about reverse and regular 1031 exchanges and how to do them right, and Charles Byrd about using Evernote for business, and total life organization and efficiency. We will have market teams from the best United States markets and lots of Q & A, networking and learning. Anyone mentioning this blog can attend for free with two guests. Just email us at info@icgre.com or call at 415-927-7504. Looking forward to seeing you!

 

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Higher Rates Possible by The End of 2015

Janet Yellen, The Federal Reserve Chairwoman, said that if the economy is on track with job market improvement and inflation climbing closer to its target rate, the fed will start raising interest rates by the end of 2015. This is a move most have been expecting.

 

I presume rates will rise very gradually, and it will be a while before it translates to higher mortgage rates, but the process seems closer than its been in many years. Those of us who have been around real estate for a while know that the super-low rates we see today are not the norm. For most of real estate mortgages’ history, rates have been much higher than they are now.

 

Thus it seems quite likely that in the coming years we will see rates that could climb back into what we used to see in the past few couple of decades. Mortgages reaching 8%, anyone? It’s possible but will not happen quickly. Of course, some veterans remember mortgage rates being higher than that  – much higher. Assuming mortgage rates will indeed rise in the coming years, it only drives home the tried-and-true message even stronger: buy a good home in a decent area, finance it with a 30-year fixed-rate loan and you have put an excellent “stake in the ground” towards your financial future.

 

A 30-year fixed-rate loan has always been amazing. To foreigners they seem like an impossible miracle: how can the loan payments and remaining balance NOT be pegged to the cost of living? That seems like a fairy tale. How could everything else rise with inflation, on average, except for one and only one item: the mortgage rate on a fixed-rate loan?

 

Once people realize how absurd this is, it becomes crystal-clear:  it’s amazing for the BORROWER.

 

As a borrower – go ahead and get these incredible loans. You don’t have to wait 30 years for the loan to pay off. After some time – perhaps 10 years, perhaps 12, 15 or so – the loan, while still having time remaining on it, will likely look like a joke – VERY low payments and very low balance – as good as paid off in essence. (Down to almost a rounding error as the years advance.)

 

Inflation AND your tenant pay the loan off. Inflation makes it lower in real dollar value and the tenant makes the payments for you (and leaves extra for you in the form of cash flow which increases as the years go by since the loan payments are fixed, but rents are not).  This message is always true – regardless of what interest rates might be.

 

However when interest rates are so incredibly low as they are now – it behooves real estate investors to go out and buy homes, finance them with 30-year fixed-rate loans, rinse and repeat. This is a window in time that may not repeat itself for many decades. Take advantage of it.

 

In our ICG 1-Day Expo coming up NEXT SATURDAY 5/30/2015 near SFO, we will discuss this point and many others. There will be lender guests who will teach us about loans for people with over 10 loans in place, loans for foreigners, and other special loan types. There will be market teams for the best real estate markets in the nation. There will be special real estate deals and special houses that can start the process we discuss above for you.

 

As always, we will also have experts on insurance, credit, financial planning, and other topics, plus a lot of networking. Anyone mentioning this blog can attend free with two guests – please email us at info@icgre.com to register.
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Home Prices Rising and How You Benefit

In a Wall Street Journal article (front-page) by Laura Kusisto, May 12, 2015 titled “Home Prices Start to Heat Up” we learn that home prices rose year-over-year in 148 out of 174 metro areas in the United States, as measured in the first quarter of 2015. Fifty-one of these metro areas increased by double digits.

There is no doubt that most U.S. markets, including essentially all the markets real estate investors are investing in, are on an upwards trajectory. (If you are not a real estate investor… you may want to take advantage of as many opportunities as you can to learn about this market and determine what might work for you as an investment in your future.) The reasons are many, including low interest rates and loans becoming even easier to obtain over the past year (and this trend continues). Buyers (no doubt) know that the low rates will not be there forever, and feel compelled to jump in. And they are doing just that. A better employment picture also helps.

Needless to say, the phenomenon of price appreciation by itself can create upwards price pressure, as buyers prefer jumping in sooner rather than later, to get a better price. As I have always discussed and predicted, retiring baby boomers are starting to be a major force in some of the sunbelt states as they seek homes for retirement in warmer climates and friendly tax situations.

For the investor, new and seasoned, what is happening now is not strong enough not to invest. Learning how to take advantage of all of this is optimal at this time. It is a reminder that buying with a fixed-rate 30-year loan that never changes with inflation – and I cannot emphasize that enough – is one of the best financial moves one can make for their financial future! The tenant and inflation will bring the loan balance down as the years go by. Home prices AND rent are NOT fixed, only the mortgage payments are (the loan balance is also fixed and in fact is paid a bit off each month, even nominally due to the amortization).

I will discuss this in greater detail as well as many other factors critical to our real estate investing strategies, during our ICG quarterly 1-Day Expo near SFO airport on Saturday May 30, 2015. We will have market teams from the best markets in the U.S. at the Expo with vendors present for one-on-one discussions. Lenders will tell us about the new loans we can get, including new loans for foreign investors and U.S. investors with over 10 homes. We will also have experts on insurance, credit optimization and repair, and overall financial planning. For more detail on these experts, visit us at ICG Real Estate Investments and click on the button about our upcoming event. To register you may email us at info@icgre.com, and mention where you saw this blog, to attend for free with two guests. If you would rather register through Eventbrite, feel free (although ticket price applies).

See you soon; I look forward to learning from our experts right along with you.

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The Ideal Properties for Real Estate Investment for The Busy Professional

As a busy professional, it is likely that your income will be sufficient to qualify for loans on investment properties – especially Single Family Homes – in most of the U.S. markets.  A high percentage of busy professionals also have good credit scores, which bodes well for getting good financing.

I maintain that the ideal property for real estate investment for the busy professional is the Single Family Home (SFH). SFHs are almost a perfect property for the individual investor who also has a regular job or business. SFHs are still the “American Dream” for most people. They are also a relatively attainable dream in many large metropolitan areas in the U.S. where prices are quite affordable, even in 2016.

SFHs are essentially the “liquid” real estate since when it is time to sell your potential buyer pool is the largest – effectively all home-buyers in the marketplace.  These homes are the real estate investment on which you can get the most powerful loan in the real estate universe – the magical fixed-rate, 30-year loan. 

Technically this loan is available on 1 to 4 residential units so duplexes, triplexes, and four-plexes also qualify. However, SFHs are usually superior to 2-4 unit properties. In good areas, you will usually find only SFHs, while you may have to travel to another part of town to see the “plexes” and they will usually be surrounded by many other “plexes.”  The “plexes” are more likely to present management challenges, have more short-term tenants (statistically) and to top it off, may not necessarily provide as good an appreciation over the long term. 

One exception is new duplexes in white-collar areas, but overall the SFHs are superior. I have been buying homes for well over 30 years and helped people buy nearly 10,000 homes in dozens of markets. During these decades, I have witnessed many “plexes” and their performance as well as many thousands of SFHs. My experience and the experiences of thousands of investors leads me to favor the SFHs over the “plexes.”

Buying larger residential properties – apartment complexes – can be a good investment, but there are areas where the investor needs to be an expert. The optimal apartment complex size, based on the experience of most apartment complex investors, is between 100 and 300 (many say 150-300) units, so economies of scale can be utilized to improve cash flow. 

For example, you may need one full-time on-site manager and one full-time maintenance person for a 110-unit complex, but if you have a 60-unit complex, you may STILL need to use one full-time on-site manager and one full-time on-site maintenance person – but with 50 fewer rents coming in! That is NOT using economies of scale very well.  There is a lot to discuss on the subject of large apartment complexes, but for the scope of this article, they require deep expertise to run properly.  
They may take up much more time than a busy professional has available; they are NOT financed with the magical 30-year fixed rate loans, and they usually call for a large investment up front. For the busy professional, Single Family Homes presents a simple, effective, and very powerful investment, with outstanding financing that cannot be found anywhere else and a time commitment, which is relatively low. 
We will discuss this topic, as well as many other crucial topics for investors, at our Quarterly 1-Day Expo on Saturday, May 21st near SFO. We will have market teams present, including a new exciting market. We have also invited top-notch experts to speak on Property Management, 1031 Exchanges and Proper Insurance – the first and most important barrier in protecting your assets, including nationwide umbrellas. Everyone mentioning this blog is invited to attend free, with associates. Just email us at info@icgre.com to register, and in the subject line write: Saw your blog! See you there.
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